Parceiro Nagano vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TOK
1 - 0
PAR
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAG
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
GAI
69%
21%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 0
PAR
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 1
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUB
1 - 1
URA
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
JUB
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
JUB
2 - 1
VIS
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JUB
1 - 1
CER
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GAM
0 - 2
JUB
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +2 |