Parceiro Nagano vs Hoyo Oita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
VVA
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HON
4 - 0
PAR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
ZWE
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
HON
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
RYK
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hoyo Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 5
MIO
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 0
HOY
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 4
BLA
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 2
HOY
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
HOY
2 - 2
YOK
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |