Parceiro Nagano vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
AZU
1 - 1
PAR
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
FUJ
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
FCT
1 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
CER
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
TOK
1 - 1
FAG
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
FAG
3 - 0
MIT
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
FAG
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 0
FCI
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FAG
1 - 1
GIF
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |