Parc vs At. Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAN
4 - 0
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
FCA
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SIT
1 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
UES
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TTE
2 - 0
PAR
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
At. Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
VIL
36%
21%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
CEE
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SJU
3 - 0
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 3
CFV
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |