Parc vs Gornal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CEE
1 - 3
PAR
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 3
SJU
22%
20%
58%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CFV
2 - 1
PAR
73%
17%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAR
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
3 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gornal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
MOR
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TTE
1 - 1
GOR
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CEE
4 - 1
GOR
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 2
SJU
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CFV
2 - 0
GOR
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |