Paravani vs Duruji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
77.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paravani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
ADU
13 - 1
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 5
ALA
7%
14%
79%
|
12 | 57 | 45 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
ACH
14 - 1
PAR
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 4
SKO
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
ABU
9%
14%
77%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 1
ABU
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
IBE
3 - 4
DUR
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 1
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
HER
4 - 2
DUR
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 0
MET
18%
21%
62%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |