Paranoá vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
8%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 3
CEI
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAP
20%
21%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
6 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
DOM
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +2 |