Paranoá vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
DOM
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
PAR
21%
19%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 3
DOM
21%
22%
58%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 2
BRA
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 0
GAM
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 1
CAP
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |