Paraná vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
SCI
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 3
CRI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
3 - 2
CRZ
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |