Paraná vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FOR
5 - 3
PAR
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 3
CRZ
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAR
37%
25%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
FFL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 1
ATM
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 0
COT
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |