Paraná vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 2
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 1
PAR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
AMF
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ATM
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
4 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 1
VIT
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SAO
0 - 2
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
3 - 1
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |