Paraná vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
7.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
LUV
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATL
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAN
16%
26%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
BOA
33%
29%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |