Paraná vs UA Maracaibo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATP
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
COT
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
RPO
3 - 1
PAR
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAR
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CCR
1 - 2
PAR
11%
18%
71%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
UA Maracaibo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 2
MIN
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZAM
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
FLA
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
TRU
1 - 3
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |