Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-2
Paraná vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
NPR
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PRU
0 - 1
PAR
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
CCR
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
6 - 1
CAC
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COT
0 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
CEN
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
0 - 4
SPO
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 2
ACA
84%
12%
5%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 3
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 4
SPO
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |