Paraná vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
SCI
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PAR
4 - 2
PAL
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATP
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GOI
0 - 2
SAO
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 0
BOT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |