Paraná vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
72%
20%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAO
19%
28%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 3
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
IND
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
BAH
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |