Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-4
Paraná vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
4 - 1
VIT
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
SCI
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 1
FFL
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAO
66%
20%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |