Paraná vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 3
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAM
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 0
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
CRB
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOG
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
29%
28%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
OES
1 - 0
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |