Paraná vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
PRU
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 3
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
JMA
66%
20%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
TCW
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JMA
2 - 2
RIO
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
PRU
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |