Paraná vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CCR
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
GUR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
PAR
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
GUR
1 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
63%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
IRA
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |