Paraná vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOA
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
PAR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 2
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
VIL
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
PPE
20%
26%
53%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
ABC
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 1
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |