Paraná vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 0
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
JMA
4 - 2
PAR
31%
25%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 3
IRA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 2
COT
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
ABC
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 0
PPE
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 0
FFL
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |