Paraná vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRZ
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
JUV
4 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 1
FLA
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIT
6 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
PPE
0 - 0
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
PAL
3 - 0
PPE
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
PPE
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
PPE
2 - 0
GOI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
PPE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |