Paraná vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
GRE
4 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 0
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATP
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
1 - 0
PAL
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 0
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 2
PAY
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAO
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |