Paraná vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SAO
6 - 0
PAR
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
VAS
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 1
NAU
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
ATM
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |