Paraná vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 2
PAR
31%
27%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CEA
0 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
11%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 3
NPR
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
NPR
1 - 0
JTF
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FOZ
4 - 1
NPR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
NPR
2 - 1
CIN
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NPR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |