Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-3
Paraná vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAR
14%
20%
66%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 3
PAR
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATP
36%
24%
40%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 3
COT
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
12O
3 - 3
LIB
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
LIB
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
SPT
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |