Paraná vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VAS
2 - 1
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARN
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 3
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
BAH
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |