Paraná vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COT
2 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
CIA
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 0
ICA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 4
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
0 - 0
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CIA
1 - 3
JMA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
JMA
3 - 3
ARA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 0
LAJ
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LON
2 - 3
JMA
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |