Paraná vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 1
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 2
ARN
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
AMF
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ICA
2 - 0
POR
24%
28%
49%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |