Paraná vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 0
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 5
PAR
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 2
BAH
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 2
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
PPE
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |