Paraná vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
5 - 0
PAR
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
CON
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
OES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CRZ
3 - 3
GUA
68%
22%
10%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
CSA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |