Paraná vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOT
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAM
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 3
PAR
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 0
RIO
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GRE
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 0
VER
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |