Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
Paraná vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
COT
2 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 1
ACP
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
NPR
0 - 0
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 4
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 2
BOV
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BOV
0 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |