Paraná vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLU
37%
24%
39%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 3
ATP
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 4
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 3
BOT
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |