Paraná vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
GOI
1 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
COR
41%
25%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
SCI
0 - 1
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
CRI
55%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |