Paraná vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COT
0 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 4
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 2
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
ICA
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
5 - 1
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
BAH
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |