Paraná vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
GOI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
ATP
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAR
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 4
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
3 - 1
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
SCI
2 - 0
BAH
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |