Paraná vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 2
CEA
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
CEA
3 - 1
PAR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
VAS
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
GOI
0 - 3
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 1
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
IND
2 - 0
CRZ
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
CRZ
2 - 2
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
PAL
3 - 3
CRZ
53%
23%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
CRZ
4 - 1
NAC
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |