Paraná vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CIA
3 - 0
PAR
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
LON
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 3
OPE
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
PAR
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
COT
0 - 0
ATP
26%
29%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COT
0 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
LON
1 - 3
COT
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
COT
5%
11%
84%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |