Paraná vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 3
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
FOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PAR
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
NPR
79%
16%
5%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COT
3 - 1
CAS
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JMA
0 - 2
COT
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
COT
2 - 0
RIO
81%
15%
5%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
COT
13%
20%
67%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |