Paraná vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 2
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 0
FLU
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
GOI
1 - 0
PAR
51%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
COT
2 - 2
ATM
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FFL
1 - 2
COT
42%
27%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 2
COT
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
COT
5 - 0
FLA
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |