Paraná vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
42%
25%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
JMA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 0
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
OPE
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
CIA
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
TCW
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 3
CIA
43%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
CIA
2 - 1
GRÊ
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 0
ACP
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |