Paraná vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
72%
20%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAO
19%
28%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAR
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOT
22%
29%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
VAS
3 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
COR
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
COR
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |