Paraná vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
24.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
OPE
0 - 1
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
COT
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
PAR
39%
29%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
PPE
29%
31%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
BOT
40%
30%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CRI
2 - 2
BRA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 2
BRA
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
AMF
2 - 0
BRA
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |