Paraná vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
TCW
71%
21%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
RIO
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 2
PAR
26%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
CRI
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
ATP
6%
15%
79%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 0
JMA
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATP
12%
22%
67%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |