Paraná vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 0
FFL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
3 - 2
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2005 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATP
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 0
ATP
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 1
SAO
26%
22%
52%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |