Paraná vs Araucária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
IGU
0 - 1
PAR
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 18 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
APU
75%
18%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEM
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PST
2 - 2
PAR
18%
25%
58%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Araucária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 2
GEM
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
APU
3 - 1
AEC
63%
21%
16%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PFC
4 - 1
AEC
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
AEC
0 - 2
CAB
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TOL
5 - 0
AEC
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -2 |