Paraná vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
COR
0 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 4
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 3
GOI
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
FLU
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 2
ARN
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 2
COR
22%
25%
52%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |