Paraná vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
OES
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 2
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AMF
3 - 1
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 4
AMF
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
ATL
49%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |